Knowledge catalogue
Me, 2024. LLMs will be commodity; (except for Nvdia) profits will be hard to squeeze out. Techbros: Shut up, Gary. GPT-5 is gonna be AGI. Today: LLMs are commodity; (except for Nvidia) profits have be
New series from The Observer with @Yoshua_Bengio, me, and others on potential catastrophic risks in AI. (link at bottom of thread) For the last few months I’ve been investigating how concerned we shou
Gary Marcus critiques Oracle's after-hours stock decline following announcements of increased capital allocation toward AI initiatives, suggesting skepticism about the company's AI strategy and spendi
Prediction (which I have made before and which increasingly seems likely) OpenAI is gonna fall, and take a lot down with it. BREAKING: SoftBank shares fall 9% after its attempt secure a $6 billion mar
A question posed on X regarding whether a recent 10% decline in the tech market will impact SpaceX's planned IPO timing and execution. The post, from AI researcher and entrepreneur Gary Marcus, raises
really good point. who else? BREAKING; Bill Gates just told Congress that Jeffrey Epstein had sought to use Gates’ affairs in an effort to blackmail him. So the question now is, if he did this to Bill
So far today • Banks to SoftBank: No thanks; OpenAI stock ain’t worth what you say. • Germany to Google: LLMs can be held liable • Senator Warren to SEC and SpaceX: Fix this mess; it’’s foul play to s
subtle shift: some folks seemed to have shifted from expecting truly exponential progress to being happy they can find measurable progress at all. and another, even larger group has grown concerned ab
Gary Marcus warns about a widespread scam epidemic involving fake profiles that use stolen pictures and randomly generated usernames/handles to deceive people. He shares an example of his response to
“They have been running literally the same play for seven years: scare, hype (evoking media interest), and (eventually) release. Scare, hype, release. And repeat. Is it that hard to see?” 👇🏼 - @GaryMa
This is genuinely big news, major unintended consequences. 🚨Breaking news that could be huge, and enormously bad for GenAI, if other countries make similar decisions. https://the-decoder.com/landmark-
this is important. and scary. CAISI has reportedly been directed to stop publishing public model assessments as the new AI EO gets implemented. Natsec engagement on AI is essential. But pulling CAISI'
Senator Elizabeth Warren criticized the SEC for insufficient enforcement and investor protection, urging the agency to strengthen oversight and prevent harm to retail investors. The post, shared by AI
What if, Germany locked itself out of the LLM race and • Had students who actually learned things in high school, instead of turning in prompt outputs they barely read • Emerged from the sea of slop •
With SoftBank apparently struggling to get a margin loan against it’s OpenAI shares, it’s maybe time to repost this, from two years ago. The vast majority of my earlier worries remain: 9 reasons that
Wow. This is worth watching, might have huge impact. @SenWarren makes some valid points, and the SEC owes her public answers Sen. Warren calls on SEC to delay SpaceX IPO @CNBC https://www.cnbc.com/202
👇@zerohedge confirms what I said here and in my May 29 Marcus on AI newsletter. Tokenmaxxing RIP. This morning @zerohedge out with a report on the death of Tokenmaxxing 'Microsoft’s AI Chief added to
1. Pausing until we had a much firmer idea of how to make AI safe—and well-aligned with human values—might well be a good idea. but 2. I trust neither of these companies, but fear that both will say “
absolutely correct @GaryMarcus I've recently learned not to believe anything that anyone says anymore when it comes to AI companies. They're all competing to win against each other while exploiting, s
alienating your customers before you IPO is maybe not the best idea, @AnthropicAI Brilliant idea! Next up: Apple randomly reboots your Mac if you're building competing tech, Gmail silently edits your
Anthropic didn’t just add guardrails to make Mythos safer; they added guardrails to protect their own IP. *Their own IP*. They are still as happy as fuck to build their AI on other people’s IP. Intere
Anthropic played the media like a fiddle. From “untold catastrophe” to “check our latest model”, in two months and a day 🙄 (cc @tomfriedman) This is the scary phase of AI — a model deemed so powerful
but but i thought it was magic? What we learned testing Claude Fable/Mythos 5 on Vending-Bench: > Performance: Makes less money than Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5 > Alignment: A step back. (Opus 4.8 was better
Gary Marcus critiques Anthropic's rapid shift in positioning Claude from a model deemed too dangerous for public release to one made widely available with safety measures, suggesting this represents i
Gary Marcus likely discusses concerns about the environmental and practical implications of exponentially expanding data center infrastructure across the globe, questioning whether covering Earth's su
Don’t always agree with @mustafasuleyman but in this case he is right to call out @AnthropicAI. Microsoft AI head calls out Anthropic for acting like Claude is conscious https://www.theverge.com/tech/
Gary Marcus argues that establishing a permanent, locked-in power structure is fundamentally unsafe and harmful to humanity's long-term prospects. The statement appears to be part of a discussion with
fable’s safety guardrails broken within an hour. raise your hand if you are surprised. We tested Anthropic’s new @claudeai Fable 5. It did not fail like an ordinary jailbreak. It failed more quietly.
@GaryMarcus Hey Gary, I'm reading one of your books right now, ‘Taming Silicon Valley’. I have to say, it's really opened my eyes to what's going on out there in the AI industry! Looking forward to yo
@GaryMarcus @Pontifex Specifically that the Pope is a powerful, influential individual serving as head of one of humanity's most enduring institutions who is asserting clearly & unequivocally the prim
I have said exactly this before and still believe it to be true this is why the labs are pushing visions of mass unemployment and replacing the white-collar workforce it's not because the models can d
i used to be the only person saying the emperor was wearing no clothes. those days are over. the only people buying SpaceX and OpenAI at list price will be the stragglers who still can’t see it. It de
i would love to see OpenAI take steps around this. how about starting by compensating artists and writers for their work and allowing them control over how their work is used? like Sam promised when w
I'm really not interested in testing a new closed-weight model in the expensive tier. What's the point? I know what will happen: 1. They present the model. 2. The model beats the competition on benchm
Gary Marcus critiques an AI response about bullying, arguing that it exemplifies typical large language model output rather than demonstrating genuine artificial general intelligence (AGI). The post s
LLMs are useful but we still have a long way to go. See my 2020 article The Next Decade in Arxiv, which remains a good guide to the future and offers a road map that the companies are increasingly fol
me January 2025 @politico, timing slightly off: we may soon see “the largest cyberattack in history, taking down, at least for a little while, some sizeable piece of the world’s infrastructure… genera
This post likely discusses the volatility and unpredictability of financial markets, examining whether gains achieved on one trading day are frequently reversed or lost the following day. Gary Marcus
no Hmm, @GaryMarcus , do you think they’d be able to achieve *any* of these goals? 😁 “Currently at OpenAI we have three main goals… 1. Build an automated AI researcher. 2. Accelerate the economy. 3. G
Nope. I think the positive press for @pontifex is because the Pope cares about humanity, and the consequence of technology for humanity. And that the tech bros mostly don’t. He’s also sharper on philo
OpenAI is hosed. There is almost no reason to prefer them over Anthropic, they have lost their lead (despite every advantage in the world), they have made commitments far far beyond their means, their
ridiculous oversimplification, from a prominent OpenAI employee no less. does this capture your impression of how the two companies have behaved? The OAI / Anthropic values difference is deeply misund
some news: it turns out 34,000 Instagram accounts got hit by a Meta AI exploit the other day, per internal company docs hackers also used a senior 'Space Force' official's account to post anti-Iran wa
Students without access to LLMs are 2 to 8 times more creative than students with access. That is the finding of a new paper comparing 2,200 college admissions essays written by humans before ChatGPT
This is actually a pretty measured bet compared to spending of the U.S companies. OpenAI alone is about twice as much. If things falls apart, the US will be hit harder. 🚨BREAKING: CHINA IS AGI-PILLED
This quote from OpenAI is telling. Translation: We have a rapidly closing window to get this IPO out the door before the bubble bursts, our CFO doesn't want to go through with it because our books are
Gary Marcus, a prominent AI researcher and critic, posted a teaser statement on X about upcoming SpaceX developments, likely referring to significant announcements or milestones in the company's space
what constitutes reasoning in AI is a critical debate. i hope that @dwarkesh_sp will respond. what does this even mean, @dwarkesh_sp, “the real deal”? is it even a falsifiable conjecture? what’s the e
what does this even mean, @dwarkesh_sp, “the real deal”? is it even a falsifiable conjecture? what’s the evidence? and if you can agree that “If you ask an LLM a question it can't answer, sometimes it
Gary Marcus highlights interesting contrasts or contradictions, likely related to AI, technology, or cognitive science based on his expertise in these areas. The post format suggests he's pointing out
Gary Marcus, a prominent AI researcher and critic, posted a commentary suggesting that foolish investors and those with excessive capital will soon experience significant financial losses, likely refe
An entire industry is being propped up by math that is literally insane. SPCX: Well, even Jensen the Great Huang started having math problems, or caught some kind of virus when he traveled to China on
Gary Marcus, a prominent AI researcher and critic, shared a post on X directing followers to learn more about his perspectives on artificial intelligence. The post likely promotes his work, writings,
further evidence that people shoveling money into AI are either bad at math or blind to risk Striking paper from Wharton. The big conclusion: AI must increase productivity 2.7x -- and quickly -- or te
Gary Marcus argues that large language models based on transformers quickly reach their limitations, prompting developers to add external tools as workarounds, while neurosymbolic AI—which combines ne
Historic: when the President of the United States can’t provide a single bit of specific concrete evidence to back up his serious charges, and has a temper tantrum when pressed. Trump has a meltdown a
Hypers got hype but this is an embarrassingly bad piece of analysis that sets up a false dichotomy and ignores the fact that Terence Tao also signed the Leiden Declaration. 🤦♂️ This post is unavailab
Gary Marcus, a prominent AI researcher and critic, is considering writing a book titled 'Seven Lies About AI' that would debunk common misconceptions about artificial intelligence, with a planned sequ
i expect value for money to increase over time as competitive pressures force providers to lower prices. but in the short time, looks like the opposite may be happening: Does a token buy you more or l
🤣 I have to think that anyone who buys the SpaceX IPO just isn’t that good at math. Or history. “Garnering that almost 600x increase means hiking sales 50% a year, on average, for a decade.” 👇🏼 https: