My guess is 18 months fwiw. My forecasts have been reasonably accurate on capabilities previously.

Emad Mostaque, founder of Stability AI, predicts a 18-month timeline for an unspecified AI capability development, citing his track record of accurate capability forecasts. The post appears to be a response or commentary on AI progress timelines, though the specific capability referenced is not clear from the title alone.

Source: Emad Mostaque (X) | 2026-06-20