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To anticipate that Anthropic will have $2T revenue in 2030 is a perfect example of the trillion pound baby fallacy. Just because a baby doub…

To anticipate that Anthropic will have 2T revenue in 2030 is a perfect example of the trillion pound baby fallacy. Just because a baby doubles in weight in its first four months doesn’t mean it will c

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To anticipate that Anthropic will have 2T revenue in 2030 is a perfect example of the trillion pound baby fallacy. Just because a baby doubles in weight in its first four months doesn’t mean it will continue to doubling every few months til he goes away to college. People around here need to learn that most exponentials don’t last. Saw a snippet of this yesterday in which @DavidSacks was forecasting Anthropic having some 2T revenue “more than the Mag 7 combined” by extrapolating its growth over the last 2 years. Obviously silly stuff. It reminds me of some of the crazy things said on the All In podcasts an…

Source: Gary Marcus (X) | 2026-05-09

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