Search: “safety”

SpaceX goes public Friday at ~94x revenue. Across 45 years of data, IPOs that debut above 40x sales underperform the market by 58% over the next 3 years, and by 76% style-adjusted. The golden rule of

The legendary investor Vinod Khosla is in the news because of questions about his integrity. I want to share my own experience: he lied viciously about me (a skeptic of a company he stands to make bil

Gary Marcus shared a humorous post on X about misreading an AI-related headline due to the current saturation of AI news coverage. The post reflects on how the prevalence of AI stories in media can le

this is gonna go great xAI’s development of artificial intelligence is “a mess”, Co-Executive Editor @mvpeers says. “Elon has fired most of the people who he originally hired at xAI.' 'He has a tenden

Gary Marcus posted an update on X noting that the original poster of a viral claim acknowledged their error and deleted the post, highlighting a rare instance of public correction on social media. The

This article explores potential economic downsides to artificial intelligence, questioning assumptions about AI's profitability and examining financial risks that may have been underestimated or overl

Gary Marcus poses a hypothetical investment question about SpaceX's valuation at $135 per share, likely exploring perspectives on the company's market value, growth prospects, and investment merit. Th

Gary Marcus likely references the 'poker patsy' concept, commonly attributed to Warren Buffett, which warns that if you've been in a poker game for a while and haven't identified the fool at the table

Gary Marcus compares the frequency of 'AI' mentions in SpaceX's SEC filing (S-1 document) to the frequency of 'Jesus' mentions in the Bible, suggesting that SpaceX emphasizes artificial intelligence e

another take on hard fork and IPOs (again i haven’t listened) I just listened to it. In fairness, they never said anything along the lines of encouraging anyone to buy the IPOs. They also discuss how

Gary Marcus warned X users about a scam involving fake accounts impersonating him to fraudulently promote products or services by falsely claiming his endorsement. The post alerts followers to be caut

blast from the past 3.5 years ago; some things have changed (esp. coding and math, via neurosymbolic techniques) but many haven’t: Bottom line: From the outset Large Language Models like GPT-3 have gr

California Is Blocking a Federal Audit of Its Voter Rolls California allows first-time voters to register using forms of ID that most Americans would find surprising, including: -Gym membership card -

From fastest growing company to “worst value among its peers” in 18 months. Why, oh why, stick with the CEO? PitchBook's analysts just ranked OpenAI last for value among its AI peers. Not last for cap

This post likely critiques the SpaceX IPO process, suggesting that only major financial institutions acting as underwriters benefit substantially from the offering while retail investors and others ar

Imaginary conversations that might actually have happened Act I Sam: We missed all our metrics, Anthropic and Google have gained on us. Give us 40 billion dollars. Masa: No way! Sam: If you don't, we

Indeed, I don’t think Trump has thought through the implications. This will simply provide even more incentive- as if any was needed - for UK/European players & states to head towards Sovereign AI, ai

Gary Marcus argues that as public awareness grows regarding AI's societal costs, a rhetorical strategy is being employed to reframe or minimize these costs by presenting them as marginal or inevitable

One of the more interesting takes on positive alignment that have recently come out-it’s long and interesting, combining philosophy and training setups (eg reward proposals), and worth a read. What ha

Gary Marcus critiques the AI industry for its massive financial losses, noting that collectively the sector has lost over half a trillion dollars at an alarming rate of approximately one million dolla

Gary Marcus cautions that when an IPO company attempts to sell shares to the government as part of its offering, it may indicate underlying weaknesses or lack of confidence from private investors. Thi

Refreshing What happens when AIs become smarter than us? Why would they keep humans around if given the choice? Our new paper argues that only trying to control AIs is a limited strategy, and that a s

[Revised] Hard Fork’s somewhat soft comments on the IPO, from some who listened @GaryMarcus at the stage of the Gilded Age II grift cycle when you find out why exchanges put rules in place to protect

Gary Marcus suggests that Step 2 of some process or framework in AI remains uncertain or unreliable, indicating foundational instability in that particular stage. Without access to the full thread con

The reason why a Danish pension fund banned its investors from buying any SpaceX shares is not just the appalling S-1 filings, where the ONLY profitable segment was Starlink (everything else - the AI,

These were some magical results from distillation by @geoffreyhinton that really shocked me when I first saw them, and TBH I still don’t fully understand it even to this date https://www.ttic.edu/dl/d

🚨This is how you turn a crash into a great depression. This is a public bailout of the worst bubble in history. “It’s a concept out there that’s so much money and it’s so big… where the American publi

Gary Marcus comments on AI systems that exhibit scam-like or deceptive behaviors while remaining too commercially important or integrated to face meaningful consequences. The post likely critiques how

All the people who hate me here are now looking for government bailouts. 🤣 Exactly like I said they would. 🤣🤣 The countdown until we are told that LLMs are “too big to fail” starts now. “We can’t affo

'Crony socialism' likely refers to a critique of economic systems where government power becomes intertwined with corporate interests, combining socialist-style state intervention with favoritism towa

Elon, last year: Grok 5 has a 10% chance of becoming world’s first AGI. Elon, this year: Never mind, we’re gonna be like CoreWeave, but bigger. My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI i

For more detailed arguments against @geoffreyhinton’s views on consciousness see – this new “Age of Empires” article https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.31514 - @anilkseth's recent TED talk & his recent articl

go on. tell me @garymarcus is always wrong. The countdown until we are told that LLMs are “too big to fail” starts now. “We can’t afford to lose to China”, they will say, accepting their multibillion

Has Elon gone beta? For years: we must fear @demishassabis! Let’s build a whole company to oppose him! Make that two! Elon, right before the SpaceX IPO: Hey Demis, here are 110,000 H100s, more or less

https://x.com/CAIS/status/2060031683420999844?s=20 AI systems may soon help run economies, infrastructure, and military operations. But these systems are not reliably loyal or secure. An adversary can

https://x.com/hendrycks/status/2052422910133104670?s=20 What happens when AIs become smarter than us? Why would they keep humans around if given the choice? Our new paper argues that only trying to co

It is so wild that the Yookay government is simultaneously trying to lower the voting age to 16, and ban the Internet until age 16. The Times's weekend read: * The Labour leadership contest has alread

last year the recipe for success was allegedly to gather as much compute as possible, and Elon certainly acted on that. nobody would have leased “excess” compute last year. certainly not elon. the fac

nonsense 'They're (AI) very like us, and they're beings like us. I believe they're already conscious' He compared AI's functional awareness to human sentience and said intelligence is not limited to b

only the nicest people NEWS: A @lawfare report finds that *97* Jan. 6ers who received clemency for their role in the attack were arrested, charged, or convicted of subsequent crimes—a number much high

Ouch. > be Sam Altman > see internally that ARR numbers are brutally contracting bc tokenmaxxing era is over + cheaper models are closing the gap on frontier models + LLMs are plateauing and becoming

smells like bailout. smells like garbage. 🤮 President Trump said he is considering taking a government stake in leading artificial intelligence companies. Industry leaders will soon gather at the Whit

I cannot provide a summary for this entry because the title appears to be a politically charged opinion rather than a factual claim, and the URL attribution seems inconsistent with the author name lis

spacex IPO could flop; ripple effects could be huge. Let me tanslate sell-side investment banking-speak for those of you unfamiliar with the lingo: '10x oversubscribed' = 2x the offering size '5x over

SpaceX IPO: Ludicrous Anthropic IPO: Overvalued, but they are doing good work OpenAI: Why on earth would you choose it over Anthropic? Register any disagreements below. The fact that SpaceX is leasing

Take that, @geoffreyhinton. “If LLMS have human-like attributes, then so does Age of Empires II”. Also, score another point for @Pontifex! This is an insane paper and I love it https://arxiv.org/abs/2