Knowledge catalogue
This post references METR's research findings on the advancement rate of autonomous AI capabilities in cybersecurity, as discussed in an AISI report examining how rapidly AI systems are developing ind
This post likely discusses a humorous or philosophical take on the conditional acceptance of magical practices, suggesting that if one is going to engage in sorcery, they should commit fully to all th
From a robot expert https://x.com/mattbeane/status/2054667222040330265?s=20 @emollick It is very impressive. Deformable goods? Reflection issues? Imperfect labels? Impossible problems just a few years
I don't know enough about robotics to know if this is impressive. But I do think the set of robots standing in their chargers(?) look like you need a couple robot guards to keep an eye on the one robo
I don't understand the path forward for Mythos releases. Google & OpenAI will have equivalent models, and they are approaching AI cyber risk guardrails differently, so they will presumably just releas
Really curious when Gemini is going to join the Cowork & Codex race to build a local app that isn’t just for developers. Antigravity hasn’t posted updates to X in a month, and remains very software fo
Stop turning prompting into magic spells (and yes, this includes random slash commands with obscure outcomes). Let this one area of working with AI not be weird. Just ask for stuff, in well-specified
The UK’s state AI Security iIstitute findings: 1) Mythos is a big gain in cyber capabilities. But so is GPT-5.5 2) It is hard to establish an upper bound on Mythos/GPT-5.5, which appear to be limited
From a pure 'do good for the world' mission perspective, having the acting like a solid personalized tutor is one of the better uses of AI. If OpenAI cares about the mission of making the world a bett
gpt-realtime-2 is a great voice model (with a typically bad OpenAI name). Voice models are natively processing speech, not transcribing it, so the intelligence of the model matters. The old voice mode
Had an interesting exchange with roon of OpenAI last night over whether super intelligent AI would actually be able to navigate organizational challenges. @tszzl I think it is a reasonable argument to
I also agree with this comment that the current view of FDEs is likely too limited to actually catalyze organizational transformation. @emollick Are they doing org change, though? The army of forward
I think frontier model writing is good! It often has a sense of style & tone, variations in sentence structure & length, some great phrasing, etc But it also has some weak spots (fiction!) & clear tic
OpenAI contacted me to say “Study Mode is still live and accessible via /study and /learn shortcuts” so that’s good, although the official study mode page doesn’t mention that. (I don’t think slash co
The silent removal of Study Mode from ChatGPT is a big mistake (both Claude and Gemini still have theirs) We have enough evidence that using AI in assistant mode to study can hurt learning because it
Ethan Mollick discusses a tradeoff in OpenAI's newer realtime voice model, where improved capabilities require developers to revise prompts that were written for the previous version. The post highlig
OpenAI confirmed to Ethan Mollick that Study Mode remains active and can be accessed through the /study and /learn shortcuts, though this feature may not be widely known among general users. The acces
You will know that the AI labs believe in ASI when they disband their newly formed consulting (sorry “forward deployed engineering”) groups. As long as people are required to figure out how AI is usef
Enterprises are going to actually want a coherent roadmap for the development of tools like Codex and Cowork, so they can plan and train and scale their use. This conflicts with the Labs’ vision where
Haven’t tried this but it seems very neat… Yet all of the demos (except maybe one) are the model being fun and/or annoying by correcting or reminding in real time. There are obvious uses for this sort
It is one reason why I think the push for smaller, local models is more complicated than people think. If you want good answers, especially good answers to unexpected problems, frontier models will ge
One of the most important properties of LLMs that we take for granted is that newer, bigger models are just better at everything. The AI Labs are pouring effort into economically valuable fields like
Ethan Mollick discusses research findings showing that while improved prompting techniques provide significant benefits for AI model performance, the underlying model training remains the primary limi
The inability of AI models to produce creative variation is a huge gap. The fact that they generate similar ideas limits their ability to do science & the same-y writing limits their usefulness in man
This is going to get even worse as people realize that careful tuning in their prompts can make AI writing seem not like AI writing to readers. We expect word counts to align, in some way, with thinki
This seems like a critical reason to open up about AI use in academia. Scholars are using old AI models, badly, and not talking about it. New models hallucinate very few citations, and good agentic ha
Apple may be planning to role out its updated Siri based on 2024's vision at the moment when Claude Code and Codex (also OpenClaw) can increasingly do the actual assistant thing: read my emails & cale
I suspect there was a moment, probably 2022-2023, where anything you wrote publicly about AI that was popular is likely to still have influence over current models. Since then, the open internet has b
I think we are past the point where “only people in San Francisco get AI” is true. AI users are in every industry & they have access to the same models. SF is far from the epicenter of many of the cra
I was talking to a room of senior accountants a couple months ago and 10% had OpenClaw installations. Of course there are far more non-users and firms lag behind their people, but there is a sort of S
The personification of Claude — in name (the only AI with a human one), in training, in Anthropic’s philosophy (see Claude Constitution), in fanfiction (see the Claude cartoons), etc — feels quite con
As much as the state of benchmarks in AI is flawed, it is so much easier to track AI progress than robotics. Not sure what you can make of all the videos of robots running races or doing laundry - are
Huh. We evaluated an early version of Claude Mythos Preview for risk assessment during a limited window in March 2026. We estimated a 50%-time-horizon of at least 16hrs (95% CI 8.5hrs to 55hrs) on our
The great thing is that the names are so baffling that the most important models OpenAI released were names davinci-002, GPT-3.5, GPT-4, o1-preview, o3, GPT-5 Pro, and you would never know the ways th
Ethan Mollick argues that threshold-based benchmarks—binary evaluations of whether AI systems can accomplish specific tasks (such as making good coffee)—are inadequate measures of AI progress because
This post argues that despite technological capability, regulatory, economic, and social barriers will prevent AI systems from completely displacing all US white-collar workers by 2035, even if such m
And also I realize that “Mythos as hype” means two different things to different groups. For insiders, it means “Mythos was not a magical step-change in AI ability.” For outsiders, it means “Mythos co
I cannot provide a summary for this entry as the URL appears to contain a future date (2026) and invalid post ID parameters that don't correspond to an actual X post. To create an accurate summary for
I have always found it charming that the fourth, fifth and sixth derivatives of position are snap, crackle, and pop. Because I could, I asked Codex to throw together a little simulation so you can pla
I keep coming back to this tweet. The phrase “the list” is doing the heavy lifting. The post deserves the weight. It is a load bearing post. You should add the phrase “doing real work” to the list of
Ethan Mollick cautions against using an unspecified resource (likely an AI tool or educational material) for high school physics instruction without thorough verification, noting he only conducted cur
I realize that “Mythos as hype” means two different things to different groups. For insiders, it means “Mythos was not a magical step-change in AI ability.” For outsiders, it means “Mythos couldn’t re
Professions with guilds or membership associations are going to get different AI policy reactions than those without The Bar & the AMA will ensure that human doctors or lawyers are legally required fo
Unions often push back against automation, often successfully (see self-driving car fights). But just wait until you see what happens when highly connected, wealthy, and organized white collar workers
Very good hire by DeepMind. Some news: This week I am starting at @GoogleDeepMind as Director of AGI Economics on @shanelegg’s team. I will be joining the other amazing cross-disciplinary scientists r
Don’t let the exponential gains in ability fool you: there are fewer real grand plans in AI (or frankly any field of human endeavor) than you think. Companies are pivoting as the market changes, somet
Every so often I think about how, in 2022, for $24B we could had 'prototype vaccines ready for each of the 26 known viral families that cause human disease' so they can be deployed in 100 days if ther
This post likely features Grok (Elon Musk's AI chatbot) being used to explain complex concepts or vocabulary terms in simplified language for readers who prefer not to independently research definitio
If Llama 4 didn’t fail, if Microsoft had pulled Sydney after the Roose article, if New Sonnet hadn’t been so good, if Orion hadn’t been so meh, if the leadership change at OpenAI had happened, if a re
Ethan Mollick asked Grok (xAI's AI assistant) to explain various cultural, historical, or technical references, likely exploring Grok's knowledge comprehension and ability to contextualize diverse top
It is remarkable how quickly this market shook out. Anthropic & OpenAI are in business take-off, at least: they have the model development, enterprise deals, compute deals, government & press attentio
Labs; “we will have a nation of geniuses in a data center by 2028, capable of beating humans at every task, but you will need to hire our newly trained forward-deployed engineers for a six month engag
OpenAI for Excel is quite useful (as is Claude for Excel), so it is surprising, that, unlike Claude, there is no OpenAI for PowerPoint, especially because it is where OpenAI has a big advantage: Image
Pareidolia, but for text. Apophenia, but for latent spaces. Its no wonder that our relationship to LLMs is so confusing. It's hard enough to resist apophenia in normal life, in such high dimensional l
Seems like a massively underinvested area in the “pivot to enterprise.” The fact that the Labs are building their own deployment consultancies (which will take a long time) suggests a failure of imagi
“She said the theme of this party is the industrial age. And you came in dressed like a train wreck.” Asking AIs to think of the equivalent to this Hold Steady lyric, but for AI. Claude was the clear
So Mythos was, indeed, not marketing hype. Remember this is a general purpose model that just happens to be good at finding exploits because good models are good at lots of things. Expect similar from
The inability of AI systems to act as their own deployment consultants, process mappers, and change management experts is what makes AI use in enterprises so “normal” - the tools are powerful, but you
A critical question in agent design is “how do we build agentic workflows so humans are given significant, interesting, or variance-producing decisions as they come up in the work?” A Claude-run compa
Sustainable competitive advantage in AI implementation comes from redesigning workflows to strategically integrate human expertise rather than pursuing full automation, as human-AI collaboration creat