I think @Levie is overstating the positive case for employment in the (near term) AI era but that most people have overstated the negative c…

I think @Levie is overstating the positive case for employment in the (near term) AI era but that most people have overstated the negative case, and that the truth is somewhere in between. Which is to say there will be some new jobs, some lost jobs—and that the overall net effect won’t be huge in the next few years. My prediction for 2025 (which proved to be correct) was “Less than 10% of the work force will be replaced by AI. Probably less than 5%”. I will stand by that prediction for 2026, as well. cc @DavidSacks The jobs data coming out continues to suggest the opposite of what a lot of people had thought would happen. Just take engineering, as the prime example of the area with greatest AI impact (and perceived risk). Most companies now have far more software projects than ever before b…

Source: Gary Marcus (X) | 2026-06-04