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Which has better odds? Generative AI earning $1.6 trillion/year or the roulette wheel landing on zero?

Which has better odds? Generative AI earning $1.6 trillion/year or the roulette wheel landing on zero? One estimate of how much annual revenue AI needs to “make sense”: 1.6 trillion. That’s four times

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Which has better odds? Generative AI earning $1.6 trillion/year or the roulette wheel landing on zero? One estimate of how much annual revenue AI needs to “make sense”: 1.6 trillion. That’s four times what Google made in its best year. (total revenue so far is perhaps on order of 100 billion.)

Source: Gary Marcus (X) | 2026-05-11

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