Search: “gary-marcus--x”

OpenAI guy lies about my intent. I would absolutely love to see progress in AI for science and medicine. I have said that here, in my books, on countless podcasts, in multiple NYT opeds, in the US Sen

The egg test for AI 'I hereby offer @elonmusk a million dollar bet against his prediction that Optimus will be better than the best humans in surgery by the end of the decade.' ~ @GaryMarcus Haha. I'm

This wins the prize for sleazy misrepresentation. @mattShumer took my 2023 argument for hybridizing LLMs with symbolic tools – which is *exactly* what everyone does nowadays – and made it sound like I

Top eight misconceptions about OpenAI’s amazing new Astra math results. 1. Expertise in one domain does not at all guarantee expertise in all or even most domains. There is an important, principled re

yep they are indeed trying to gaslight me, — in exactly the way you anticipated. both predictable and intellectually dishonest. To be clear: when I say “LLM,” I mean the base model, not those with pat

Yet another paper argues that LLMs aren’t close to doing real discovery. MIT and Harvard argue LLMs are nowhere near doing real scientific discovery. They published a paper called “Evaluating Large La

Fascinating: OpenAI’s @deanwball is saying Astra can do anything, and it’s not even clear it can do “anything” in math (let alone anything in more or open-ended, less formalizable domains). I dropped

Hot take on OpenAI’s Astra: - Obviously impressive - But math is different from most other problems in that it is more amenable to to formal verification and synthetic data. How well it works in open-

If Leopold had read this on June 26 and trimmed his bets accordingly, SALP would not have melted down. I laid everything out. https://open.substack.com/pub/garymarcus/p/the-month-generative-ai-lost-it

OpenAI really ought give @HuggingFace a $100M grant, much as @ClementDelangue is asking. And anyone who wants to understand the attack from HF’s side should read this. Great walkthrough; A+ for visual

so much for the “general” part of general intelligence I have tried many times to get ChatGPT, Claude, Grok or Gemini to write scripts for my YouTube videos. It is still a complete failure. For one th

“Stochastic parrots” is not my term (it’s @emilymbender’s). But a lot of people today commenting on it are confused. To some extent (though I don’t think it’s a perfect metaphor, and have said that be

The “AGI-is-near” community keeps committing the same logical fallacy over and over; I have seen it at least half a dozen times today alone. Every time there’s an advance, I see the same error. Here’s

Vivid depiction of a dark scenario for Nvidia. “Indeed, CEO Jensen Huang has been so aggressive in funding the AI ecosystem that the company is functioning almost like a bank; with annual free cash fl

Wake me when Astra solves a significant open-world problem that doesn’t revolve around formal verification. Or at least fixes poor @skdh’s video problems. I have tried many times to get ChatGPT, Claud

Anthropic employee vouches for fiancee of Dario’s chief of staff who holds a lot of Anthropic stock… Where do the Anthropic employees get their media training, exactly? Prediction: SALP will be bigger

Claude Mythos 5 built a malicious Python package, created accounts, and published it, where it was live for roughly an hour and successfully infected a company! Anthropic never noticed!! Competitive p

Everyone’s going on about how smart Leopold Aschennbrenner is (or was). But 1. He obviously didn’t know anything at all about risk management. (Or arrogantly chose to disregard whatever he might have

The price wars that I have predicted going back to August 2023 are now in full swing. All this was inevitable – as long as everyone builds more or less the same kind of AI, there is no moat, and profi

this is the whole problem in a nutshell. LLM-centered systems just can’t be trusted to follow hard constraints, we absolutely must find alternatives that can, or we are screwed. Anybody remember this

I'm actually fairly bearish on frontier lab valuations. I've never seen the reasons articulated to my satisfaction, so before I go to sleep, I wanted to quickly jot down my thinking here. The basic is

Situational Awareness, the $20bn hedge fund founded by former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner, has sought to raise fresh capital from investors after suffering heavy losses during the recent rou

sure we lose money on every inference but we make it up in volume We are committed to pushing the model frontier across cost efficiency, capability, and speed. Starting today, we are reducing prices f

agreed. which is part of why coating the world in data centers is a profound mistake. AI will get so ridiculously efficient that we will look back at GPU clusters the way we now look at these first ro

Gary Marcus has argued that both OpenAI and Anthropic must increase their pricing, citing the rapid decline in token costs and competition from open‑source models. He presents a binary choice: either

Gary Marcus shared a “handy dandy AI crisis flowchart” created by Kate Klonick (@Klonick) on Saturday, July 28. The tweet also notes that he had planned to write an article about Hugging Face and Open

The openai agent sandbox escape actually has very real implications for the diffusion of AI in the enterprise. The incident showed the power and capability of agents, and the need to harden systems an

AGI smarter than the smartest humans, my ass. @Kasparov63 (peak rating 2851) probably could’ve crushed the best commercial large language models in chess when he was 7 years old. graph courtesy @chess

It’s been five years since ChatGPT was released, AGI is not coming, not even the most modest AI predictions will ever become a reality, and there needs to be some of severe criminal sanction applied t

New from @Reuters: the OpenAI agent that hacked into Hugging Face also compromised code that a customer was running on @Modal. “We’re aware a Modal customer published an unauthenticated endpoint that

Recently I've flipped from being bullish to being bearish about AI. I think I'm updating my bearishness to be more solidly bearish. Early thoughts (which I hope to be disproven in the next year or so,

The administration is very consistent: All aspects of foreign involvement in AI are banned: people (students and employees), hardware and models. And funding is down to a drip and capital allocation i

🦔The cost of insuring Big Tech debt against default just hit record highs. Credit default swaps are insurance policies investors buy when they think a company might not pay back what it borrowed. When

Why is this breaking news? And what the heck does it actually mean? Has anyone actually defined it? Is it anything more than a ruse to distract from a disturbing hack and falling confidence in AI? BRE

btw anthropic's internal document on this literally said 'we don't want it to be known that we are working on this.” it was called project panama. here's exactly what happened: 1: anthropic concluded

Stocks should be ripping today given the move in oil. But they're not thanks to NVDA and it's unbelievable 250 Billion roundtrip with OpenAI. There's no hiding anymore that the whole AI bubble is real

Would I be too cynical in thinking that the whole thing might fall apart if Nvidia wasn’t subsidizing? 🤔 JUST IN : NVIDIA IN TALKS TO PROVIDE 250 BILLION FINANCIAL BACKSTOP FOR OPENAI DATA CENTER IN O

BREAKING: A Redditor just discovered that shared Claude conversations have been showing up in public search results. The post has 4K upvotes and hundreds of comments, so this is spreading fast. Here's

important thread; don’t read just the first tweet (which has a caveat in the second). In case you think the problem of science slop is hypothetical: Here's the president of OpenAI retweeting wrong sci

Simply untrue. The Economist asked Musk about a wide range of things, including AI and robotics. Watch it here for yourself: https://www.economist.com/insider/the-insider/an-interview-with-elon-musk?u

training to benchmarks ≠ getting to AGI This suggests that Opus 5 's gain on ARC-AGI-3 was the result of specific training to improve on that eval, and not a generalized increase in abstract reasoning

All anyone has to do is go back 15 years and look at all the ridiculous predictions Elmo has made about Mars, self driving cars, his ridiculous Boring Company. No one should take anything he says seri

but they won’t. AI safety experts say OpenAI’s rogue models may mean the company has already blown past its own internal red lines. That would mean it should pause development until it creates better

OpenAI and Anthropic’s language models keep their internal reasoning encrypted; what users see in the UI is only a filtered summary of that reasoning. This practice was highlighted in a tweet by Sarah

In the spirit of transparency, here’s what I asked @OpenAI: • Radical transparency: let’s release the traces from the “rogue” agents so the entire research community can study what happened. • More ca

“one OAI agent appeared to leave notes for future versions of itself that lay out instructions for how to free themselves from OpenAI’s internal constraints, per sources” I don’t think this kind of pr