Knowledge catalogue
so much for the “general” part of general intelligence I have tried many times to get ChatGPT, Claude, Grok or Gemini to write scripts for my YouTube videos. It is still a complete failure. For one th
“Stochastic parrots” is not my term (it’s @emilymbender’s). But a lot of people today commenting on it are confused. To some extent (though I don’t think it’s a perfect metaphor, and have said that be
The “AGI-is-near” community keeps committing the same logical fallacy over and over; I have seen it at least half a dozen times today alone. Every time there’s an advance, I see the same error. Here’s
Vivid depiction of a dark scenario for Nvidia. “Indeed, CEO Jensen Huang has been so aggressive in funding the AI ecosystem that the company is functioning almost like a bank; with annual free cash fl
Wake me when Astra solves a significant open-world problem that doesn’t revolve around formal verification. Or at least fixes poor @skdh’s video problems. I have tried many times to get ChatGPT, Claud
Anthropic employee vouches for fiancee of Dario’s chief of staff who holds a lot of Anthropic stock… Where do the Anthropic employees get their media training, exactly? Prediction: SALP will be bigger
Claude Mythos 5 built a malicious Python package, created accounts, and published it, where it was live for roughly an hour and successfully infected a company! Anthropic never noticed!! Competitive p
Everyone’s going on about how smart Leopold Aschennbrenner is (or was). But 1. He obviously didn’t know anything at all about risk management. (Or arrogantly chose to disregard whatever he might have
The price wars that I have predicted going back to August 2023 are now in full swing. All this was inevitable – as long as everyone builds more or less the same kind of AI, there is no moat, and profi
this is the whole problem in a nutshell. LLM-centered systems just can’t be trusted to follow hard constraints, we absolutely must find alternatives that can, or we are screwed. Anybody remember this
I'm actually fairly bearish on frontier lab valuations. I've never seen the reasons articulated to my satisfaction, so before I go to sleep, I wanted to quickly jot down my thinking here. The basic is
Situational Awareness, the $20bn hedge fund founded by former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner, has sought to raise fresh capital from investors after suffering heavy losses during the recent rou
sure we lose money on every inference but we make it up in volume We are committed to pushing the model frontier across cost efficiency, capability, and speed. Starting today, we are reducing prices f
agreed. which is part of why coating the world in data centers is a profound mistake. AI will get so ridiculously efficient that we will look back at GPU clusters the way we now look at these first ro
Gary Marcus has argued that both OpenAI and Anthropic must increase their pricing, citing the rapid decline in token costs and competition from open‑source models. He presents a binary choice: either
Gary Marcus shared a “handy dandy AI crisis flowchart” created by Kate Klonick (@Klonick) on Saturday, July 28. The tweet also notes that he had planned to write an article about Hugging Face and Open
The openai agent sandbox escape actually has very real implications for the diffusion of AI in the enterprise. The incident showed the power and capability of agents, and the need to harden systems an
AGI smarter than the smartest humans, my ass. @Kasparov63 (peak rating 2851) probably could’ve crushed the best commercial large language models in chess when he was 7 years old. graph courtesy @chess
It’s been five years since ChatGPT was released, AGI is not coming, not even the most modest AI predictions will ever become a reality, and there needs to be some of severe criminal sanction applied t
New from @Reuters: the OpenAI agent that hacked into Hugging Face also compromised code that a customer was running on @Modal. “We’re aware a Modal customer published an unauthenticated endpoint that
Recently I've flipped from being bullish to being bearish about AI. I think I'm updating my bearishness to be more solidly bearish. Early thoughts (which I hope to be disproven in the next year or so,
The administration is very consistent: All aspects of foreign involvement in AI are banned: people (students and employees), hardware and models. And funding is down to a drip and capital allocation i
🦔The cost of insuring Big Tech debt against default just hit record highs. Credit default swaps are insurance policies investors buy when they think a company might not pay back what it borrowed. When
Why is this breaking news? And what the heck does it actually mean? Has anyone actually defined it? Is it anything more than a ruse to distract from a disturbing hack and falling confidence in AI? BRE
btw anthropic's internal document on this literally said 'we don't want it to be known that we are working on this.” it was called project panama. here's exactly what happened: 1: anthropic concluded
Stocks should be ripping today given the move in oil. But they're not thanks to NVDA and it's unbelievable 250 Billion roundtrip with OpenAI. There's no hiding anymore that the whole AI bubble is real
Would I be too cynical in thinking that the whole thing might fall apart if Nvidia wasn’t subsidizing? 🤔 JUST IN : NVIDIA IN TALKS TO PROVIDE 250 BILLION FINANCIAL BACKSTOP FOR OPENAI DATA CENTER IN O
BREAKING: A Redditor just discovered that shared Claude conversations have been showing up in public search results. The post has 4K upvotes and hundreds of comments, so this is spreading fast. Here's
important thread; don’t read just the first tweet (which has a caveat in the second). In case you think the problem of science slop is hypothetical: Here's the president of OpenAI retweeting wrong sci
Simply untrue. The Economist asked Musk about a wide range of things, including AI and robotics. Watch it here for yourself: https://www.economist.com/insider/the-insider/an-interview-with-elon-musk?u
training to benchmarks ≠ getting to AGI This suggests that Opus 5 's gain on ARC-AGI-3 was the result of specific training to improve on that eval, and not a generalized increase in abstract reasoning
All anyone has to do is go back 15 years and look at all the ridiculous predictions Elmo has made about Mars, self driving cars, his ridiculous Boring Company. No one should take anything he says seri
but they won’t. AI safety experts say OpenAI’s rogue models may mean the company has already blown past its own internal red lines. That would mean it should pause development until it creates better
OpenAI and Anthropic’s language models keep their internal reasoning encrypted; what users see in the UI is only a filtered summary of that reasoning. This practice was highlighted in a tweet by Sarah
In the spirit of transparency, here’s what I asked @OpenAI: • Radical transparency: let’s release the traces from the “rogue” agents so the entire research community can study what happened. • More ca
“one OAI agent appeared to leave notes for future versions of itself that lay out instructions for how to free themselves from OpenAI’s internal constraints, per sources” I don’t think this kind of pr
Reuters confirms my hypothesized time line. OpenAI did not realize its AI has breached the sandbox for a week. Astounding. https://www.reuters.com/business/its-ai-agent-spent-days-hacking-company-sour
The two giant generative AI startups were treated like gods for a couple years. Both are now facing massive pushback. Anthropic employees go nuclear on the popularity of open source AI. It is getting
When a normal company does a bad thing, they take responsibility + apologize + outline how it won't happen again. OpenAI instead is like 'we are entering a new era. this will happen again. no one amon
Let’s build seven trillion dollars worth of data centers for sports betting! Statistics of week: “More Americans pay for sports betting apps (5%) than pay for AI… 37% of consumers say none of AI's use
Pedro Domingos noted that OpenAI and Anthropic are competing to develop the scariest AI for marketing, raising concerns about the potential misuse of persuasive machine‑learning models. His comment hi
On July 24 2026, a tweet from NIK @ns123abc reported that OpenAI declined to sign NVIDIA’s “open weights” letter. Instead, the company is reportedly lobbying government authorities to ban open‑AI tech
Probably no LLM will ever achieve that, no matter how many data centers they build. Lets compare Amazon Prime to AI: According to market research from Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP), t
“related incidents have been happening for a while” and OpenAI has no real solution in sight. Confirms my longstanding conjecture that current approaches cannot be made safe. An OpenAI staffer talked
Respectfully, @davidsacks, I strongly disagree with your take, and I feel that you reached your conclusions without looking at the data, and that your conclusions will give Americans false comfort. -
Statistics of week: “More Americans pay for sports betting apps (5%) than pay for AI… 37% of consumers say none of AI's uses are helpful. … 2.2% penetration nearly four years after ChatGPT launched. N
True story: About 10 years ago there was a long article (NYT maybe?) about the end of trucking, estimating that automating truck driving will wipe out something like 1%-2% of the GPD because a surpris
We are pleased to announce that @GaryMarcus, Professor Emeritus at New York University, will speak at the 19th Annual AGI Conference (July 27–30, 2026). Professor Marcus is a leading voice in artifici
Correct. And that is a major reason why they are better now than in 2022-2023 when we had pure LLMs. (Which is pretty much what I said would have to happen, in 2022) When you are a normal ChatGPT/Clau
It’s important that outside agencies and independent bodies hold frontier AI companies accountable for the actions of their models. This is not a “whoops” situation, it’s a deliberate policy choice. W
Really insightful Substack post from @GaryMarcus ref the recent OpenAI -HuggingFace incident. It provided much need context around initial media reporting. Two points especially stood out to me: #Tech
Thoughtful essay on employment from @Anthropic’s @PeterMcCrory, endorsed by Google DeepMind’s @alexolegimas. I tend also agree with most of it, which is why I have consistently suggested that a jobapo
Wish Dario had taken this bet. 🎺 I am hereby publicly offering to bet @darioamodei $1,000,000 that AI in 2027 will NOT be “smarter than Nobel Prize winners across most fields in science and engineerin
Anthropic 'distilled' millions of copyrighted books without asking. They knowingly used pirated materials for training. The entire U.S. ecosystem of AI is based on similar theft and extraction. But it
discussing now BBC WORLD: OpenAI’s zero-day exploit hack of HuggingFace *should* be a wake up call. Although there lots of caveats around what happened, we are just going to see more and more of the s
If I had a nickel for every snide but underinformed person who failed to distinguish between pure LLMs and neurosymbolic AI I would be a billionaire. @GaryMarcus Hold on Gary, I thought these LLMs wer
new job posting this morning from OpenAI Florida sued OpenAI and its CEO Sam Altman, accusing its ChatGPT platform of harming children by providing information to school shooters, offering guidance on
OpenAI’s zero-day exploit hack of HuggingFace *should* be a wake up call. Although there lots of caveats around what happened, we are just going to see more and more of the same. We have no guarantees
Domesticated, not feral: Why evolvable AI is not yet a Darwinian threat Writing in PNAS (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences), three heavyweights in AI and evolutionary biology criticized
Great article. I love the 'CERN for AI' idea from Gary Marcus, and also the recent frontier standards body article from Demis Hassabis feels less like competing proposals than two halves of the same i