Search: “gary-marcus--x”

Epistemological standards in SF venture capital are so low that you can write this, and everyone will simply nod along. The actual evidence, including a recent NBER paper on thousands of firms, finds:

Ex-OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever claims to have collected proof of Sam Altman’s alleged dishonesty https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-openai-trial-sutskever-sam-altman-musk/?utm_sourc

🤔Going to be in Vancouver tomorrow? 🧐Curious about whether or not scaling AI is a bad bet? 😎Catch TPN founder @zacharykarabell's chat with @GaryMarcus at @WebSummit at 10:20am. 🎟️Get your tickets here

Gonna keep retweeting, because this flawed move never dies: AI hype has become a giant game of bait and switch. the bait: we are going to make an AI that can solve any problem a expert human could sol

If you believe this nonsense, and a lot of people do, I beg you to read my newsletter called “Misplaced Panic Over AI progress” 🙏 we are exactly 4.5 steps away from achieving AGI!! People are not read

Important Nature Neuroscience paper shows how humans differ from LLMs. Many people currently believe that humans are just next-word predictors, like LLMs. But this new paper by Zou, Poeppel and Ding s

🚨 In his testimony just now, at the Musk-OpenAI trial, Satya Nadella came off as shrewd, calm, and (mostly) honest, an impressive leader – but also selectively blind. How? He seemed unable to believe

Michael Burry urged investors to scale back exposure to surging technology stocks, saying the current market environment has reached historically dangerous extremes reminiscent of prior speculative bu

Mythos identified one genuine vulnerability in cURL while also reporting three false positives and one issue classified as a bug during their security analysis. The post references cURL's founder or l

@NameInteger @GaryMarcus @geoffreyhinton Hinton's argument was about encoding: LLMs don't encode text as text, but as weighted matrices. It makes no difference. Memorised data is memorised data no mat

Not even surprised by horrific stories like these anymore. The mission of getting LLMs aligned with human values has largely been a failure. NEW: ChatGPT advised the FSU shooter that a mass shooting w

oh. my. god. 😱 FT Exclusive: NHS England has granted external staff from companies including Palantir “unlimited access” to identifiable patient data while working on a part of its flagship data platf

One estimate of how much annual revenue AI needs to “make sense”: 1.6 trillion. That’s four times what Google made in its best year. (total revenue so far is perhaps on order of 100 billion.) In 2024

Openclaw token consumption dropped 50% within a month according to OpenRouter usage data, as reported by Gary Marcus. The post likely discusses potential causes for this significant decline, such as c

Really doubt what Hinton says here. Self-play for games like Go is not like the open-ended real world. Geoffrey Hinton says AI systems can keep improving when they are not limited by human data Like A

Gary Marcus analyzes and critiques Geoffrey Hinton's arguments regarding weaknesses in deep learning and artificial neural networks. The article likely examines specific technical or conceptual claims

reply to Hinton’s reply to me, for additional context: Dear @geoffreyhinton, I literally never said that AI systems “JUST regurgitate”; that’s plainly false. I don’t believe it, and I didn’t say it. (

Science publishing giant Elsevier has joined the dozens of firms and individuals suing artificial intelligence companies over their alleged use of copyrighted works in training AI models https://go.na

Serious question: Should I write a short book called 7 lies about AI that never die? AI hype has become a giant game of bait and switch. the bait: we are going to make an AI that can solve any problem

Since Hinton has actually replied let me clarify some things - LLMS don’t *always* regurgitate - LLMs don’t literally store full texts - but given the mechanisms that they use they do sometimes regurg

That @NIST CAISI announcement from last week about Google DeepMind, xAI and Microsoft signing new deals for pre-deployment testing is gone from their website, link no longer found, and I can't get any

Gary Marcus critiques the typical hype cycle pattern where emerging technologies experience inflated expectations followed by inevitable disappointment. The post likely illustrates this cycle using a

This post from AI researcher Gary Marcus likely discusses the enormous economic value or potential return on investment related to artificial intelligence developments, suggesting AI's worth or impact

what i have been saying for 6 years. maybe now you will believe it? 📁 Fei-Fei Li, former Google Chief Scientist, says the industry is dangerously fixated on language models. Most of the real economy i

Which has better odds? Generative AI earning $1.6 trillion/year or the roulette wheel landing on zero? One estimate of how much annual revenue AI needs to “make sense”: 1.6 trillion. That’s four times

32,000 views for my tweet; 2.2 million for the nonsense it critiques. so typical. lies and distortions beating debunking by a factor of roughly 100. Wanna get a million views? Make stuff up. Take a ti

a tweet to keep in mind when Sam testifies this coming week How can anybody take seriously your claim that “Working towards prosperity for everyone, empowering all people, and advancing science and te

FAR more scary than the misunderstood METR time horizon graph everyone here seems to be (wrongly) panicking about. The #AI circular funding bubble is already twice the size of the outstanding debt in

Happy to put money against superintelligence in 2029. Why Superintelligence is Alien Intelligence (A Brief Outline of the Future) We are no longer in the realm of normal technological progress. If the

hey @elonmusk, if you really care about making X a source of truth as you used to claim, take note: @GaryMarcus lies are optimized for engagement, truth is optimized for accuracy the algorithm doesnt

Many are valiantly fighting against the age of bullshit. Bullshit is winning, I'm sorry to report. 😠 32,000 views for my tweet; 2.2 million for the nonsense it critiques. so typical. lies and distorti

Oy. According to a new paper in The Lancet, the rate of made-up citations in biomedical papers has increased by more than 12x since 2023. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-673

PLEASE DO NOT PANIC about the Mythos/METR graph that everyone is panicking about. Progress is being made but people are totally overreacting. Here’s some context that is being left out from nearly eve

Remarkable numbers here. Goldman Sachs: 'The consensus of analysts is now for the mega-cap US hyperscalers to spend $755 billion on capex in 2026, representing growth of +83% vs. 2025. This capex is e

Terence Tao - 'AI tools are like taking a helicopter to drop you off at the site. You miss all the benefits of the journey itself. You just get right to the destination, which actually was only just a

Wow! Wonder how many people on this site hyped this paper – and how many of them will walk back their hype now that the paper has been retracted. A year-old nature paper that advocated the use of Chat

This post likely discusses a cognitive or computational principle where one should primarily focus on horizontal (broad, general, or foundational) aspects of a problem or system, then use inference or

but as noted here, not zero threat, either: The detailed investigation of a prior hantavirus human-human transmission event has evidence of airborne transmission of Andes strain: Patient 1 --> Patient

Gary Marcus discusses how symbolic tools and verification methods may be undervalued in AI development, suggesting that if harnesses and verification systems are performing the primary computational w

Gary Marcus publicly challenged Joseph Jacks with a $10,000 bet regarding a prediction Jacks made about 2030, requesting direct message contact to formalize the wager. The challenge was posted on X (f

Hot take on METR’s new graph that so many people are flipping about today. • Claude Code is a real advance; Mythos probably builds on some of what is learned there. But… • If you read the graph carefu

I believe we'll achieve ASI, but it will be both narrow and finite in capability. We already have ASI in Go, Chess, some video games. In those domains, infinite amounts of training data can be generat

Gary Marcus shares a humorous projection suggesting Anthropic could potentially reach $2 trillion in annual revenue if certain growth assumptions materialize. The post likely comments on AI industry r

🌷 If X had been around during the Dutch tulip craze🌷 1. Prices would have gone even higher before the crash 2. Tweets saying “there’s no bubble” would have gone viral. 3. Prices still would have crash

Is there a version of the bull case that spells out where the multitrillion dollar revenue will come from that doesn’t ultimately revolve around “trust me bro”? (And does it factor in the inevitable p

My take on the Dawkins/Claude/Claudia/Claudius kerfuffle in @thenerve_news - with many 🙏🏽to @GaryMarcus for reminding me how Dawkins wrote so powerfully about the weakness of arguments from personal i