Search: “safety”

FAR more scary than the misunderstood METR time horizon graph everyone here seems to be (wrongly) panicking about. The #AI circular funding bubble is already twice the size of the outstanding debt in

Happy to put money against superintelligence in 2029. Why Superintelligence is Alien Intelligence (A Brief Outline of the Future) We are no longer in the realm of normal technological progress. If the

hey @elonmusk, if you really care about making X a source of truth as you used to claim, take note: @GaryMarcus lies are optimized for engagement, truth is optimized for accuracy the algorithm doesnt

Many are valiantly fighting against the age of bullshit. Bullshit is winning, I'm sorry to report. 😠 32,000 views for my tweet; 2.2 million for the nonsense it critiques. so typical. lies and distorti

Oy. According to a new paper in The Lancet, the rate of made-up citations in biomedical papers has increased by more than 12x since 2023. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-673

Remarkable numbers here. Goldman Sachs: 'The consensus of analysts is now for the mega-cap US hyperscalers to spend $755 billion on capex in 2026, representing growth of +83% vs. 2025. This capex is e

> shipped the agent > opened the dashboard > latency: fine > error rate: fine > users: unhappy > checked the responses > technically correct > wrong tool called 3 steps earlier > no trace to follow >

Terence Tao - 'AI tools are like taking a helicopter to drop you off at the site. You miss all the benefits of the journey itself. You just get right to the destination, which actually was only just a

The post asks about user engagement metrics for a specific mode within Codex, requesting data on what percentage of users utilize it and how adoption has changed over the past month. The author sugges

Wow! Wonder how many people on this site hyped this paper – and how many of them will walk back their hype now that the paper has been retracted. A year-old nature paper that advocated the use of Chat

This post likely discusses a cognitive or computational principle where one should primarily focus on horizontal (broad, general, or foundational) aspects of a problem or system, then use inference or

but as noted here, not zero threat, either: The detailed investigation of a prior hantavirus human-human transmission event has evidence of airborne transmission of Andes strain: Patient 1 --> Patient

Gary Marcus discusses how symbolic tools and verification methods may be undervalued in AI development, suggesting that if harnesses and verification systems are performing the primary computational w

Gary Marcus publicly challenged Joseph Jacks with a $10,000 bet regarding a prediction Jacks made about 2030, requesting direct message contact to formalize the wager. The challenge was posted on X (f

Gary Marcus shares a humorous projection suggesting Anthropic could potentially reach $2 trillion in annual revenue if certain growth assumptions materialize. The post likely comments on AI industry r

🌷 If X had been around during the Dutch tulip craze🌷 1. Prices would have gone even higher before the crash 2. Tweets saying “there’s no bubble” would have gone viral. 3. Prices still would have crash

Is there a version of the bull case that spells out where the multitrillion dollar revenue will come from that doesn’t ultimately revolve around “trust me bro”? (And does it factor in the inevitable p

Questions people will be writing about in the coming years: • Was it a Ponzi scheme? • Why didn’t more people worry about the circular financing? • Why were investors so blasé about the lack of profit

Sorry, @peterwildeford, but this is wrong. Please don’t play along. The measurement “wall” you mention is hit ONLY if you don’t insist on reliability. If you demanded 95% accuracy on the task, the sys

A 2018 study by D.K. Roy and Soroush Vosoughi published in Science found that false information spreads faster on social media platforms than accurate information. The research demonstrates a quantifi

This post likely references the famous opening lyric from The Rolling Stones' 'Satisfaction' (1965) as a commentary on contemporary issues, possibly relating to AI confusion, information overload, or

Gary Marcus discusses the 'too big to fail' concept in the context of AI systems, likely examining how large AI companies or models may pose systemic risks that make them difficult to regulate or shut

'Trump’s most lethal policy will almost surely be his 71% cut in humanitarian aid from 2024 to 2025....The aid cuts cost more than 750,000 lives worldwide in their first year' and 'will cost 9.4M live

Wanna get a million views? Make stuff up. Take a tiny tiny bit of truth and distort it wildly. Consider the tweet below, 1.4M views. Take the chess thing. The paper that is linked doesn’t actually say

'50 percent of Americans told the Pew Research Center last year they were more concerned than excited about what’s to come from A.I. Only 10 percent said they were more excited. That is a yawning gap

Asking for HTML explanations of things is pretty neat, I tried it just now with the obfuscated Python POC for the new http://copy.fail Linux vulnerability: https://simonwillison.net/2026/May/8/unreaso

“Combined free cash flow across Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle is projected to FALL more than -70%, to ~100 billion, by the end of …. AI capital expenditure is consuming nearly every do

Gary Marcus critiques the AI industry's financial model, noting that companies with high burn rates continue to see rising market valuations despite unprofitable operations. The post sarcastically que

Happy to see that The White House has finally realized that the Andreessen-Sacks zero regulation approach to AI was going to blow up in the their face. Also glad to see them finally consider the kind

Holy AI “fact checking” disaster We are in deep, deep trouble. A reader wrote in to me this week saying that they wouldn't read my Trump corruption story because ChatGPT 'fact-checked the piece' and i

I warned you early that covid-19 could get really serious. Hantavirus is not as easily transmitted; not likely to be the same level of threat. Nearly 40 cruise passengers exposed to a deadly virus may

i wish i could fast forward five years to see how badly this all turned out. it’s painful to watch. “Combined free cash flow across Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle is projected to FALL m

Jan Leike expresses gratitude for collaborators he has worked with on AI alignment research throughout his career. The post, shared on X (Twitter), reflects on the privilege of working with talented i

It’s honestly painful to root for Elon in the trial, given the kind of person he has become. Elon Musk’s DOGE “blatantly used” race, gender and other protected characteristics to execute the largest m

A judge ruled that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) violated regulations by using ChatGPT to process grant applications in an unauthorized manner, determining the practice was both incom

Morgan Stanley sees capital spending by the five largest AI hyperscalers topping 800 billion this year and 1.1 trillion next year. At 3.3% of gross domestic product, next year’s figure would exceed pr

My view on Mythos was and is somewhere in between. It’s real, it’s a wakeup call, and it’s not quite what some of the media coverage suggested. • Mythos is not going to allow an 8 year old to accident

Next week at The Trial could be wild. Here’s why: Sam Altman will be on the stand. He is one of the world’s most convincing (though not always truthful) talkers (as I saw up close when we testified si

Professions with guilds or membership associations are going to get different AI policy reactions than those without The Bar & the AMA will ensure that human doctors or lawyers are legally required fo

Remember that MIT study that showed that the ROI for generative AI wasn’t really there for most businesses? Or any of the six or seven studies from other teams that followed, showing basically the sam

Sadly I am forced to agree. @karaswisher shilled for her friend Sam (who interviewed her for her book tour!), and ran me down for seeking (and stating) the truth. And never apologized, even after my t

This appears to be a post by cognitive scientist and AI researcher Gary Marcus on X (formerly Twitter) expressing skepticism or disagreement about a claim or development, likely related to AI, machine

SCOOP: VP JD Vance held a secret call with CEOs of giant AI companies including Elon Musk, Dario Amodei and Sam Altman. Vance expressed concern with the potential of AI systems and impact they could h

Gary Marcus discusses the prospect of writing an updated edition of a work that has entered the public domain, suggesting he may revise and republish it. The post reflects on opportunities created by

Gary Marcus shared appreciation for a humorous or witty piece of content from the Financial Times (FT), praising its deadpan British humor style. The post suggests the FT occasionally publishes unexpe

Jan Leike announced he is beginning a new research project at Anthropic focused on contributing to safe and beneficial AGI development. The post expresses enthusiasm about the initiative and indicates