Knowledge catalogue
hey @elonmusk, if you really care about making X a source of truth as you used to claim, take note: @GaryMarcus lies are optimized for engagement, truth is optimized for accuracy the algorithm doesnt
Many are valiantly fighting against the age of bullshit. Bullshit is winning, I'm sorry to report. 😠 32,000 views for my tweet; 2.2 million for the nonsense it critiques. so typical. lies and distorti
Oy. According to a new paper in The Lancet, the rate of made-up citations in biomedical papers has increased by more than 12x since 2023. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-673
PLEASE DO NOT PANIC about the Mythos/METR graph that everyone is panicking about. Progress is being made but people are totally overreacting. Here’s some context that is being left out from nearly eve
Remarkable numbers here. Goldman Sachs: 'The consensus of analysts is now for the mega-cap US hyperscalers to spend $755 billion on capex in 2026, representing growth of +83% vs. 2025. This capex is e
Terence Tao - 'AI tools are like taking a helicopter to drop you off at the site. You miss all the benefits of the journey itself. You just get right to the destination, which actually was only just a
Wow! Wonder how many people on this site hyped this paper – and how many of them will walk back their hype now that the paper has been retracted. A year-old nature paper that advocated the use of Chat
This post likely discusses a cognitive or computational principle where one should primarily focus on horizontal (broad, general, or foundational) aspects of a problem or system, then use inference or
but as noted here, not zero threat, either: The detailed investigation of a prior hantavirus human-human transmission event has evidence of airborne transmission of Andes strain: Patient 1 --> Patient
Gary Marcus discusses how symbolic tools and verification methods may be undervalued in AI development, suggesting that if harnesses and verification systems are performing the primary computational w
Gary Marcus publicly challenged Joseph Jacks with a $10,000 bet regarding a prediction Jacks made about 2030, requesting direct message contact to formalize the wager. The challenge was posted on X (f
Hot take on METR’s new graph that so many people are flipping about today. • Claude Code is a real advance; Mythos probably builds on some of what is learned there. But… • If you read the graph carefu
I believe we'll achieve ASI, but it will be both narrow and finite in capability. We already have ASI in Go, Chess, some video games. In those domains, infinite amounts of training data can be generat
Gary Marcus shares a humorous projection suggesting Anthropic could potentially reach $2 trillion in annual revenue if certain growth assumptions materialize. The post likely comments on AI industry r
🌷 If X had been around during the Dutch tulip craze🌷 1. Prices would have gone even higher before the crash 2. Tweets saying “there’s no bubble” would have gone viral. 3. Prices still would have crash
Is there a version of the bull case that spells out where the multitrillion dollar revenue will come from that doesn’t ultimately revolve around “trust me bro”? (And does it factor in the inevitable p
My take on the Dawkins/Claude/Claudia/Claudius kerfuffle in @thenerve_news - with many 🙏🏽to @GaryMarcus for reminding me how Dawkins wrote so powerfully about the weakness of arguments from personal i
Questions people will be writing about in the coming years: • Was it a Ponzi scheme? • Why didn’t more people worry about the circular financing? • Why were investors so blasé about the lack of profit
So many people misremember (or never read) what I said in in 2022 in “Deep learning is hitting a wall”, which was neither about revenue or AI’s potential upper limits. Rather, it was an argument that
Sorry, @peterwildeford, but this is wrong. Please don’t play along. The measurement “wall” you mention is hit ONLY if you don’t insist on reliability. If you demanded 95% accuracy on the task, the sys
A 2018 study by D.K. Roy and Soroush Vosoughi published in Science found that false information spreads faster on social media platforms than accurate information. The research demonstrates a quantifi
This post likely references the famous opening lyric from The Rolling Stones' 'Satisfaction' (1965) as a commentary on contemporary issues, possibly relating to AI confusion, information overload, or
This is confused, but popular. Popular because it tells a bunch of people what they want to hear. Confused for a couple reasons: first, Mythos probably isn’t a pure LLM. (Claude Code isn’t, and it pro
To anticipate that Anthropic will have 2T revenue in 2030 is a perfect example of the trillion pound baby fallacy. Just because a baby doubles in weight in its first four months doesn’t mean it will c
Gary Marcus discusses the 'too big to fail' concept in the context of AI systems, likely examining how large AI companies or models may pose systemic risks that make them difficult to regulate or shut
Wanna get a million views? Make stuff up. Take a tiny tiny bit of truth and distort it wildly. Consider the tweet below, 1.4M views. Take the chess thing. The paper that is linked doesn’t actually say
'50 percent of Americans told the Pew Research Center last year they were more concerned than excited about what’s to come from A.I. Only 10 percent said they were more excited. That is a yawning gap
“Combined free cash flow across Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle is projected to FALL more than -70%, to ~100 billion, by the end of …. AI capital expenditure is consuming nearly every do
Good summary of today, @katiemiller, but then again it is getting hard to track of the total number of ex-board members who have called Altman a liar 🤷♂️ Also hard to keep track how many OpenAI safet
Gary Marcus critiques the AI industry's financial model, noting that companies with high burn rates continue to see rising market valuations despite unprofitable operations. The post sarcastically que
Happy to see that The White House has finally realized that the Andreessen-Sacks zero regulation approach to AI was going to blow up in the their face. Also glad to see them finally consider the kind
Holy AI “fact checking” disaster We are in deep, deep trouble. A reader wrote in to me this week saying that they wouldn't read my Trump corruption story because ChatGPT 'fact-checked the piece' and i
I warned you early that covid-19 could get really serious. Hantavirus is not as easily transmitted; not likely to be the same level of threat. Nearly 40 cruise passengers exposed to a deadly virus may
i wish i could fast forward five years to see how badly this all turned out. it’s painful to watch. “Combined free cash flow across Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle is projected to FALL m
It’s honestly painful to root for Elon in the trial, given the kind of person he has become. Elon Musk’s DOGE “blatantly used” race, gender and other protected characteristics to execute the largest m
A judge ruled that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) violated regulations by using ChatGPT to process grant applications in an unauthorized manner, determining the practice was both incom
Morgan Stanley sees capital spending by the five largest AI hyperscalers topping 800 billion this year and 1.1 trillion next year. At 3.3% of gross domestic product, next year’s figure would exceed pr
My view on Mythos was and is somewhere in between. It’s real, it’s a wakeup call, and it’s not quite what some of the media coverage suggested. • Mythos is not going to allow an 8 year old to accident
Next week at The Trial could be wild. Here’s why: Sam Altman will be on the stand. He is one of the world’s most convincing (though not always truthful) talkers (as I saw up close when we testified si
Remember that MIT study that showed that the ROI for generative AI wasn’t really there for most businesses? Or any of the six or seven studies from other teams that followed, showing basically the sam
Sadly I am forced to agree. @karaswisher shilled for her friend Sam (who interviewed her for her book tour!), and ran me down for seeking (and stating) the truth. And never apologized, even after my t
This appears to be a post by cognitive scientist and AI researcher Gary Marcus on X (formerly Twitter) expressing skepticism or disagreement about a claim or development, likely related to AI, machine
SCOOP: VP JD Vance held a secret call with CEOs of giant AI companies including Elon Musk, Dario Amodei and Sam Altman. Vance expressed concern with the potential of AI systems and impact they could h
Gary Marcus discusses the prospect of writing an updated edition of a work that has entered the public domain, suggesting he may revise and republish it. The post reflects on opportunities created by
Gary Marcus shared appreciation for a humorous or witty piece of content from the Financial Times (FT), praising its deadpan British humor style. The post suggests the FT occasionally publishes unexpe
Take Mythos seriously, but don’t panic. Here are the facts: • Mythos is a real threat. And it can really help with finding bugs (as @mozilla’s new report documents well). • It’s not unique; similar vu
The future of Math is mathematicians and AI agents working together. Very pleased to introduce @GoogleDeepMind's AI co-mathematician: a multi-agent system designed to actively collaborate with human e
🚨The slow decline of OpenAI has begun. 🚨 These two hesitations from SoftBank and Broadcom, back to back in my feed from @HedgieMarkets and @anissagardizy8, are major signs. The money question of 2026:
Gary Marcus argues that despite 3.5 years of rapid AI development and deployment, there is minimal empirical evidence that AI has significantly impacted overall economic productivity metrics. The post
Gary Marcus corrected a previous statement about power consumption, clarifying that the figure was 300 megawatts rather than 30 megawatts. This appears to be a technical correction posted on X regardi
contest time: First person to update this chart with no mistakes using an AI system and a general prompt (rather than one than that handholds the system every step of the win) wins a signed book! Plea
Elon Musk’s DOGE “blatantly used” race, gender and other protected characteristics to execute the largest mass termination of federal grants in the history of the National Endowment for the Humanities
Research indicates that people frequently follow advice provided by chatbots, yet this compliance with AI recommendations does not correlate with improved outcomes or subjective well-being. This sugge
First person to update this chart with no mistakes using an AI system and a general prompt (rather than one than that handholds the system every step of the win) wins a signed book! Please suppy your
Former OpenAI employee Rosie Campbell is the FIRST PERSON in the trial to point out that OpenAI's mission does NOT REQUIRE building AGI Undermines the entire justification for creating the for-profit
Gary Marcus is an AI researcher and public intellectual who frequently shares commentary and insights about artificial intelligence developments on social media. His posts on X (formerly Twitter) cove
Helen Toner's deposition in Musk v Altman includes some striking quotes about Mira Murati's involvement with Altman's ouster. She said Mira was 'totally uninterested in telling her team that her conve
Gary Marcus posted on X (formerly Twitter) requesting that Bloomberg update outdated information, likely regarding AI safety, regulation, or related technological topics that Marcus frequently discuss
Hot take on Elon’s surprise decision to rent 30 megawatts of compute to Anthropic: 1. It’s a tacit concession that xAI is not all that close to AGI (despite what he suggested last year). 2. It’s more
If point #4 is true, things are gonna get really wild. Hot take on Elon’s surprise decision to rent 30 megawatts of compute to Anthropic: 1. It’s a tacit concession that xAI is not all that close to A