Search: “gary-marcus--x”

anyone who wants to put money into OpenAI’s IPO should think again. the talent is voting with its feet, and has been for several years. Personal update: I’ve decided to leave OpenAI. I’m proud to have

Chip Export rules: made China/Huawei stronger, accomplished relatively little. USG stakes in US AI: will make Mistral and other “sovereign AI” efforts stronger, freak out the rest of the world, escala

circular finance, with numbers, a worked example. I want to use GOOG Anthropic and SPCX deal to show how the circular finance deals hiding losses and costs is falling apart. How every deal meant to ma

'Crony socialism' likely refers to a critique of economic systems where government power becomes intertwined with corporate interests, combining socialist-style state intervention with favoritism towa

Elon, last year: Grok 5 has a 10% chance of becoming world’s first AGI. Elon, this year: Never mind, we’re gonna be like CoreWeave, but bigger. My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI i

Elon Musk has promised that fully self driving Teslas are one year away, every single year, for almost a decade. 2016, a coast to coast autonomous drive is coming next year. 2019, a million robotaxis

For more detailed arguments against @geoffreyhinton’s views on consciousness see – this new “Age of Empires” article https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.31514 - @anilkseth's recent TED talk & his recent articl

go on. tell me @garymarcus is always wrong. The countdown until we are told that LLMs are “too big to fail” starts now. “We can’t afford to lose to China”, they will say, accepting their multibillion

Has Elon gone beta? For years: we must fear @demishassabis! Let’s build a whole company to oppose him! Make that two! Elon, right before the SpaceX IPO: Hey Demis, here are 110,000 H100s, more or less

I don’t know whether to take these specific details like this seriously, but something like this will inevitably happen, sooner or later — and absolutely devastate all the data infrastructure investme

I want AI to succeed, and have been positive about many systems (Claude Code, AlphaFold, AlphaGeometry, Cicero, etc). It’s not AI that I hate; it’s bullshit and greed that I despise. Not my fault that

it’s a bad day when @scaling01 goes all Gary Marcus on the media 🤣 This is a good example of how AI news gets distorted. The example is from Tagesschau, the most watched news program in Germany. Anthr

“I've tried to find where this stops being circular and I can't.” 🦔Google signed a deal to pay SpaceX 920 million a month for access to 110,000 Nvidia GPUs at SpaceX data centers. The contract runs Oc

last year the recipe for success was allegedly to gather as much compute as possible, and Elon certainly acted on that. nobody would have leased “excess” compute last year. certainly not elon. the fac

nonsense 'They're (AI) very like us, and they're beings like us. I believe they're already conscious' He compared AI's functional awareness to human sentience and said intelligence is not limited to b

only the nicest people NEWS: A @lawfare report finds that *97* Jan. 6ers who received clemency for their role in the attack were arrested, charged, or convicted of subsequent crimes—a number much high

Ouch. > be Sam Altman > see internally that ARR numbers are brutally contracting bc tokenmaxxing era is over + cheaper models are closing the gap on frontier models + LLMs are plateauing and becoming

⚠️⚠️ Seismic shift ⚠️⚠️ It’s a good day to be Mistral. Nobody is going to trust an American AI company that is partly owned by the US Government. Just the way the US doesn’t trust Huawei. After this m

smells like bailout. smells like garbage. 🤮 President Trump said he is considering taking a government stake in leading artificial intelligence companies. Industry leaders will soon gather at the Whit

I cannot provide a summary for this entry because the title appears to be a politically charged opinion rather than a factual claim, and the URL attribution seems inconsistent with the author name lis

“.. So now Google and Anthropic pay rent on the hardware Grok couldn't use, and that rent is the AI revenue story SpaceX takes public on Thursday.” 🦔Google signed a deal to pay SpaceX 920 million a mo

spacex IPO could flop; ripple effects could be huge. Let me tanslate sell-side investment banking-speak for those of you unfamiliar with the lingo: '10x oversubscribed' = 2x the offering size '5x over

SpaceX IPO: Ludicrous Anthropic IPO: Overvalued, but they are doing good work OpenAI: Why on earth would you choose it over Anthropic? Register any disagreements below. The fact that SpaceX is leasing

Take that, @geoffreyhinton. “If LLMS have human-like attributes, then so does Age of Empires II”. Also, score another point for @Pontifex! This is an insane paper and I love it https://arxiv.org/abs/2

The fact that SpaceX is leasing excess capacity means that space based data centers aren't needed and will never ever be economically viable. Yet when I read the IPO documents these 'orbital data cent

Gary Marcus discusses a paradox in the agentic AI market: while developers are creating numerous new applications powered by agentic AI systems, these applications are failing to achieve meaningful us

They said the reason for the sell off was about interest rates , but I agree with @GaryMarcus that it might be about the faltering IPOs prospects... Absolutely brutal day for AI fantasies: Nvidia NVDA

This analysis from yesterday looks even more apt today — especially after we heard that the model providers have gone to Washington in search of handouts. ⚠️Why didn’t the hyperscalers wait until afte

this circular financing diagram is now unbelievably out of date. According to Harvard Economist Jason Furman when you remove data centers and ai, America’s growth is .01%. It’s a bubble. It’s going to

this guy is asking the wrong question; the right question is not how much money SpaceX is being paid, but why they’re making the deal in the first place: because they’ve realized that they aren’t goin

Gary Marcus expresses concern about contemporary global instability, suggesting that human greed and desperation pose significant risks to an already precarious historical moment. The post implies tha

Whether SpaceX/ Xai is making money on the deals with Google and Anthropic or losing money, they are waving the towel on winning the frontier model race— by arming their competitors rather than themse

wild thought: will US invest in Anthropic, the alleged supply chain risk? weird if they do. but if they don’t (but do invest in OpenAI) the US government may immensely and immediately increase Anthrop

You can’t let this happen, @DavidSacks, cc @elonmusk. It’s WWWIII but with AI. Nobody wins. ⚠️⚠️ Seismic shift ⚠️⚠️ It’s a good day to be Mistral. Nobody is going to trust an American AI company that

Absofuckinglutely called it. Nationalized stakes are just a bailout by a different name. Here we are seventeen months later, and the fleece the taxpayer game is on. The countdown until we are told tha

Absolutely brutal day for AI fantasies: Nvidia NVDA: down 6.2% Broadcom AVGO: down 7.92% Coreweave CRWV: down 7.07% Nebius NBIS: down 12.27% Oracle $ORCL: down 9.59% Worst of all? OpenAI is rumored to

“America won’t win the AI race if we beat China but end up with a CCP-style social credit system in the U.S. — and that is the danger as the government becomes more deeply involved in AI development a

Critical context on the new Anthropic blog: 1, AGI is *harder* than RSI (as used below). AGI: machine can do anything human can do, autonomously [not achieved] RSI (as used below): AI is a useful codi

Finally, a commencement speaker who calls bullshit. Great oped by @mollyjongfast on “billionaire brain”, and why young people have a right to boo what the AI industry has become. I wrote about the com

Funny how so many people read Anthropic is calling for a pause when they did NOT actually call for a pause. Read what they said, carefully. They want it both ways. They *don’t* actually want a pause -

If scale was “all you need”, Elon would be hoarding LLMs, not leasing them. Last year: people had to steal GPU’s from armored trucks. This year: SpaceX is leasing to GPUs left, right, and center, beca

⚠️ Keep your eye on the ball, and don’t panic over Anthropic’s new blog. Here’s why: Anthropic is trying to strike terror into everyone’s hearts – “full recursive self-improvement also might increase

Last year: people had to steal GPU’s from armored trucks. This year: SpaceX is leasing to GPUs left, right, and center, because Xai couldn’t figure out what to do with them. SpaceX just disclosed a ne

Gary Marcus argues for a specific rationale supporting a potential OpenAI bailout, though the exact reasoning is not detailed in the available information. Given Marcus's background as an AI researche

LLMs do not teach people to think critically. Colleges do. Hot take: Universities charge $300,000 for a degree that teaches you skills any LLM can do for free. At some point we need to have an honest

Gary Marcus expresses concerns that OpenAI's potential IPO performance could signal broader challenges for the company, suggesting their recent success may not be sustainable if market conditions turn