Search: “gary-marcus--x”

so do i have this right? the market is up on optimism about Microsoft’s revenue but MSFT’S biggest customer by far is burning billions a month with no obvious way to meet all of its future obligations

🚨The endgame of commoditization and falling prices and lack of a moat that I warned was inevitable in August 2023 took three years. But that moment has come. TBD whether OpenAI and Anthropic can survi

Welcome to the thunderdome of commoditization 🚨The endgame of commoditization and falling prices and lack of a moat that I warned was inevitable in August 2023 took three years. But that moment has co

Gary Marcus noted that investor Dwarkesh predicts Anthropic will generate more than $100 billion in revenue this year, according to a source. A chart accompanying the claim omitted DeepSeek’s pricing

A pioneer of AI-in-biology just published a sharp rebuttal to the 'AI will cure cancer' narrative. The core argument: It's a measurement problem. Over 90% of drugs that enter clinical trials still fai

can anyone with sufficient training in mathematics refuse this provocation? no ad hominem please; I have seen enough of that and am looking for real counterarguments, only. 🙏 OpenAI and Anthropic each

can anyone with sufficient training in mathematics refute this provocation? no ad hominem please; I have seen enough of that and am looking for real counterarguments, only. 🙏 OpenAI and Anthropic each

Gary Marcus tweeted on August 4, 2026 at 3:53 PM that a forthcoming weekend presentation will explore how chess illustrates the limitations of generative AI systems—highlighting an image produced by C

OpenAI and Anthropic have both just posted about an overlapping cyber incident involving GPT-5.6-Sol and Mythos 5 during an evaluation by UKAISI. I will quote: 'In the most serious case, an agent trie

this post from 3 years ago and commercial LLMs *still* can’t play chess anywhere near as well serious players (except by calling external tools) When @GaryMarcus and others point out that GPT-4 is bad

AFAIK the most significant breakthrough since 2017 besides scaling old ideas was broadening from base models into larger systems that incorporate symbol/manipulating entities like harnesses, tools, an

All frontier AI models (including GPT-5.6 Sol, Fable 5, and Kimi K3) consistently fail to implement solvers for basic nonlinear PDEs correctly, often introducing significant errors in numerical stabil

🚨ASI/AGI is imminent fans don’t realize that they ALREADY lost the argument around Astra. My argument (spelled out in detail in my Substack today) was that Astra was unlikely to be the dramatic leap f

even within math, frontier models are far from being general intelligences. and we still need people to assess which of their output are trustworthy and which are not. All frontier AI models (includin

fascinating comments on possible slowdown – but probably a red herring. - Anthropic and OpenAI presumably aren’t colluding to slowdown, they are asking governments to build a framework such that a slo

Gary Marcus warns that, with increasingly sophisticated generative‑AI tools, future generations may struggle to tell what is real from what is fabricated. Matt Stoller adds that generative AI will tra

@gabriberton Hmm, @ylecun always clarified he was talking about autoregressive symbol prediction. In a similar vein, people like to dump on @GaryMarcus for being anti-AI, but he's actually bullish on

GOP AGs warn OpenAI's Altman to preserve records in AI agent hacking probe https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/gop-ags-warn-openai-altman-preserve-records-ai-agent-hacking-probe?%3Fintcmp=tw_fbn&ta

i doubt that a single person who has criticized me understands this. since i have been perfectly clear about this, that’s on them. @gabriberton Hmm, @ylecun always clarified he was talking about autor

Gary Marcus commented on Twitter that OpenAI “distilled” Google’s brand name, prompting a humorous response from Tony Carden. Carden’s reply referenced Google DeepMind’s Project Astra and included a s

Gary Marcus tweeted “OpenAI: No Anthropic: Unlikely,” suggesting that the company does not expect Anthropic to satisfy particular requirements. The tweet references a discussion about the “RPO obligat

Part of the challenge with the AI math advances is the current air of secrecy around them. We don't know how Astra/Fable/Mythos etc are trained. We know many mathematicians have been paid to create tr

“poorly evidenced sensationalism makes for bad policymaking, politics, philanthropy and much else.” beautiful coda for a weekend in which people went completely nuts without even asking for a control

Sudden silence on metrics that used to be shared regularly is a bad sign. If this post below is correct, it doesn’t look great for enthusiastic projections around Anthropic’s Q3. (Author below leaves

The math still ain’t mathing. Recently we estimated global (ex China) AI revenues of around 200bn annualised, based on four different sources. Just come across a fifth, based on Nvidia inference sales

There should be a public investigation into the AI hacking incidents by OpenAI and Anthropic. We deserve to know whether these labs are genuinely world-class security organizations facing a novel thre

this is the real reason people from OpenAI etc are desperate to shut me up. Astra (which didn’t even have a control group and is maybe not that much better than Fable and certainly not ASI) was perhap

Checkmate: you can’t take the harness (which is typically in large part symbolic) away from the neural model without giving up performance. HUGE victory for neurosymbolic AI, straight from @AnthropicA

Don’t think I have seen more misconceptions around one model (I count 8) since the fantasies people had before GPT-5 was released. That turned out to be a letdown; so will Astra, for people who are dr

exactly. math isn’t done. not at all. I don’t think being critical of the amazing work AI is doing in pure math is fair to @OpenAI until I can start to say why I feel it’s not yet at the level of our

LLMs can know a task is impossible and still optimize it anyway. Ask whether to walk or drive to a car wash 50 meters away, and some models focus on distance while missing that the car itself must rea

OpenAI guy lies about my intent. I would absolutely love to see progress in AI for science and medicine. I have said that here, in my books, on countless podcasts, in multiple NYT opeds, in the US Sen

The egg test for AI 'I hereby offer @elonmusk a million dollar bet against his prediction that Optimus will be better than the best humans in surgery by the end of the decade.' ~ @GaryMarcus Haha. I'm

This wins the prize for sleazy misrepresentation. @mattShumer took my 2023 argument for hybridizing LLMs with symbolic tools – which is *exactly* what everyone does nowadays – and made it sound like I

Top eight misconceptions about OpenAI’s amazing new Astra math results. 1. Expertise in one domain does not at all guarantee expertise in all or even most domains. There is an important, principled re

yep they are indeed trying to gaslight me, — in exactly the way you anticipated. both predictable and intellectually dishonest. To be clear: when I say “LLM,” I mean the base model, not those with pat

Yet another paper argues that LLMs aren’t close to doing real discovery. MIT and Harvard argue LLMs are nowhere near doing real scientific discovery. They published a paper called “Evaluating Large La

Fascinating: OpenAI’s @deanwball is saying Astra can do anything, and it’s not even clear it can do “anything” in math (let alone anything in more or open-ended, less formalizable domains). I dropped

Hot take on OpenAI’s Astra: - Obviously impressive - But math is different from most other problems in that it is more amenable to to formal verification and synthetic data. How well it works in open-

If Leopold had read this on June 26 and trimmed his bets accordingly, SALP would not have melted down. I laid everything out. https://open.substack.com/pub/garymarcus/p/the-month-generative-ai-lost-it

OpenAI really ought give @HuggingFace a $100M grant, much as @ClementDelangue is asking. And anyone who wants to understand the attack from HF’s side should read this. Great walkthrough; A+ for visual

so much for the “general” part of general intelligence I have tried many times to get ChatGPT, Claude, Grok or Gemini to write scripts for my YouTube videos. It is still a complete failure. For one th

“Stochastic parrots” is not my term (it’s @emilymbender’s). But a lot of people today commenting on it are confused. To some extent (though I don’t think it’s a perfect metaphor, and have said that be

The “AGI-is-near” community keeps committing the same logical fallacy over and over; I have seen it at least half a dozen times today alone. Every time there’s an advance, I see the same error. Here’s

Vivid depiction of a dark scenario for Nvidia. “Indeed, CEO Jensen Huang has been so aggressive in funding the AI ecosystem that the company is functioning almost like a bank; with annual free cash fl

Wake me when Astra solves a significant open-world problem that doesn’t revolve around formal verification. Or at least fixes poor @skdh’s video problems. I have tried many times to get ChatGPT, Claud